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GIRO DE NOTÍCIAS II

Analistas consultados pelo Banco Central não acertam previsão do PIB há sete anos

Publicado

10 anos atrás

em

19 de janeiro de 2015

Por

Os analistas de mercado consultados pelo Banco Central não acertam as previsões para o PIB (Produto Interno Bruto) brasileiro desde 2008. Os resultados das análises são conhecidos como Boletim Focus.

Foto: Reprodução

Foto: Reprodução

Eles trazem as apostas dos economistas para os principais indicadores econômicos do país toda segunda-feira. Segundo o Uol, são ouvidas mais de cem instituições financeiras e o banco exclui as previsões extremas e calcula uma mediana dessas perspectivas. De acordo com o sócio fundador da consultoria, Guilherme Lima, os ajustes feitos nas previsões podem ser insuficientes. Em geral, as previsões feitas com dois anos de antecedência passam longe do resultado final; já as previsões feitas um ano antes chegam mais perto, mas não o bastante. O consultor também não descarta que a pura sorte esteja atrapalhando o desempenho dos analistas. (Bahia Notícias)

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